Contriving

A common bias among the smart is to overestimate how smart everyone else is.  This was certainly my experience in moving from top rank universities as a student to a mid rank university as a teacher.  A better intuition for common abilities can be found by browsing the US National Assesment of Adult Literacy sample questions.

For example, in 1992 out of a random sample of US adults, 7% could not do item SCOR300, which is to find the expiration date on a driver’s license.  26% could not do item AB60303, which is to check the “Please Call” box on a phone message slip when they’ve been told

 Intended as a once and for all solution to addressing physical locations.

Unfortunately, like many good ideas, it doesn't become terribly useful until its in widespread use.

(romantic as in an idealized view of reality, not love)

Human intuition is often completely wrong and it takes good judgement and constant attention to recognize when to ignore your intuition.

Today, safe flight inside clouds is possible using gyroscopic instruments that report the airplane's orientation without being misled by centrifugal effects. But the pilot's spatial intuition is still active, and often contradicts the instruments. Pilots are explicitly, emphatically trained to trust the instruments and ignore intuition—precisely the opposite of the Star Wars advice—and those who fail to do so often perish.
— Gary Drescher "Good and Real"

In the meantime…what?

Many times the part of the page that says "Your posts are being loaded." does not show when I visit my dashboard…

one
On net, patriotism seems to be an irrational state of mind unless you narrowly define it as "after careful deliberation I've decided that this country best serves the needs of the most people"…but I don't think thats what most people really mean when they're talking about patriotism.

Patriotism seems to usually be used to mean something like one of these:
1. Do not criticize anything about the country I enjoy living in.
2. USA #1, USA #1! (insert whatever country for USA)

Even for more nuanced takes of patriotism, taking the concept of "patriot" as part of your identity seems like it ends up forcing support for ideas and values upon you that you might not have supported if you came at them from a more objective standpoint.

To a first-order approximation, it seems like a mindset that would be a better (by better, I mean more well-being, more happiness, more accurate) substitute for patriotism would be a mindset that:

1.  Acknowledges that for various desired outcomes various countries and systems of government place somewhere on a scale for each desired outcome, while…
2. also acknowledging that different people will have their own preferences for each outcome.

I mean, maybe some people have this sort of mindset in mind when they're talking about patriotism, but from my standpoint it certainly doesn't seem like thats how its actually practiced.

two
I'm going to talk about subjective confidence.  

A person has some degree of confidence in their knowledge and beliefs called subjective confidence.  It's subjective, in part, because people don't have introspective access to the way their mind has formed it's beliefs.  

I find myself thinking about this subjective confidence pretty often as I offer advice or take actions…which is a good thing I think.  

I might say "I'm 75% confident about my thoughts on patriotism" and what someone might think I'm meaning is that I'm not as confident about that as I am confident that I'm actually in the shower when I'm in the shower but I'm a lot more confident than I would be that I'll get heads when I flip this coin.

But…that's not quite right, even though that might be what I intend to convey when I offer the confidence figure.  As I mentioned before, I don't have introspective access to the algorithms of my mind, so it seems as if I can't really place my confidence-on-patriotism-thoughts effectively on the scale between confidence-I'm-in-the-shower and confidence-I'm-flipping-heads which I can pin down fairly objectively.

Perhaps when I say I'm 75% confident in my thoughts about patriotism, I'm describing a feeling, which is a little worrying, but it's the best I can do.

Maybe "it's the best I can do" is not good enough.  

Sometimes, in what might be my most lucid and introspective moments, I feel like I'm not very confident about many of my more complex beliefs.  During these times my confidence about subjects as simple as is-in-shower or even some more complex beliefs like value-of-rational-thought, don't seem to change, but my confidence in my beliefs about patriotism seem as if they're in a mirage and there's a good argument on the tip of my mind just waiting to destroy what I believe.

During these most lucid and introspective times, what it really seems like is that most of the time when I'm feeling 75% confident about my patriotism beliefs, what I've actually done is taken a relative confidence and made it feel like an absolute confidence.

The weird thing is that, during the majority of the time, even knowing what I really think about that 75% number and how shaky most of my beliefs are…the 75% number still feels right.  I'm perfectly aware of the fact that what I really feel is that there's a good probability of there being a good argument out there just ready to sweep my legs out from under me, and yet the 75% number just feels like the right answer to the question "What's your subjective confidence in your thoughts about patriotism?"

Curtin University team leader Phil Bland hand-dug the meteorite from a 42-centimetre-deep hole in a remote section of the lake bed just hours before the arrival of heavy rains would have washed away any remaining clues.

"It was an amazing team effort, we got there by the skin of our teeth," Professor Bland said.

"It is older than the Earth itself. It's the oldest rock you'll ever hold in your hand.

"It came to us from beyond the orbit of Mars, so in between Mars and Jupiter."

The three-day operation to find the meteorite involved an aerial spotter, a drone, two researchers on a quad bike and local Aboriginal guides Dean Stuart and Dave Strangways looking in the sticky clay.

The most popular book at the UN library, which is for use by diplomats and the like…is how to avoid prosecution for international crimes.